深慢Shimmer

Observatory

framework v2.0 · M / S / C / L / N / E / P / R / U

updated 2026-07-05 21:02 UTC

M 货币锚

10y 收益率
DXY
100.88
实际利率 (10y TIPS)
Fed funds rate
Monetary · 10y / DXY / 实际利率 FRED + Yahoo

S 供需实

NVDA
$195
MSFT
$390
META
$583
GOOG
$356
AVGO
$360
本周财报
Supply-Demand · AI 7 / 财报 Yahoo Finance

C 资本流

stablecoin mcap
$310B
DEX vol 24h
$5.09B
BTC ETF 7d
ETH ETF 7d
Capital · ETF / DEX / 稳定币 DeFiLlama

L 微观结构

BTC funding 8h
0.0076%
BTC OI (OKX)
$1.94B
HL BTC mid
$62,679
HL ±2% depth
$9.4M
Liquidity · OKX funding/OI · HL depth OKX + Hyperliquid

N 叙事

未读 alerts
290
总情报
348
总文档
19,322
活跃信源
406
平均质量
9.0
Narrative · intel-engine / X / SIRS intel-engine

E 预期差

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
49%
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advan
69%
Mexico vs. England: Team to Adva
49%
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
26%
Expectation · Polymarket trending Polymarket

P 仓位极

Bubble 8 项
4/8
Marks 9 项
+6
COT 极端
funding 拥挤度
Positioning · Bubble / Marks / COT weekly-scan · 2026-05-17 (待同步)

R 反身回路

VIX
HY OAS
Gold/Oil ratio
10y - FF
VIX-OAS 5d 背离
Reflexivity · VIX / OAS / ratios FRED

U 边界

黄金 vs 实际利率
油日变化
EM 货币状态
JPY/CHF CFTC
Unknowable · 跨市场背离 FRED 综合

Live 实时盘面 →

TradingView · 重点标的 · 快观察(crypto 实时 / 美股 15min delayed)

Regime History →

Marks 9 项温度计 + Bubble Scanner 8 项 历史变迁

Transmission Map →

C01-C19b 跨市场传导通道 · 季度命中率